Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 2.582803 2.978738 3.415938 3.934679 4.533667 5.203956 6.011492
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 2.023927 2.534758 3.147125 3.936001 4.926625 6.131205 7.710121
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 1.623390 2.184484 2.907043 3.907317 5.259252 7.027637 9.524433
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1.283507 1.841301 2.607006 3.737508 5.369579 7.649018 11.090295
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.028083 1.562348 2.339201 3.554836 5.417661 8.178610 12.608370
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.888646 1.423829 2.244280 3.598787 5.791829 9.225592 15.054361
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.748943 1.259417 2.080749 3.504916 5.930131 9.923816 17.064306
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.690709 1.215458 2.099022 3.703597 6.569305 11.518598 20.813476
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.629832 1.156136 2.080590 3.833359 7.106004 13.015373 24.635977
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.561164 1.071400 2.003650 3.843756 7.425179 14.167116 28.009435
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.477117 0.944773 1.831044 3.647057 7.320881 14.510353 29.878006
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.444539 0.912037 1.830084 3.781007 7.879368 16.209239 34.729571
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.420682 0.895044 1.861183 3.992611 8.647160 18.483663 41.260129
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.386153 0.850647 1.830291 4.070445 9.147788 20.287201 47.107999
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.350790 0.798942 1.776309 4.089633 9.523762 21.883610 52.785251
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.307325 0.722378 1.656719 3.941662 9.494446 22.564163 56.432784
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.268130 0.649496 1.534368 3.766961 9.371527 23.002671 59.560623
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.248727 0.620749 1.510248 3.825243 9.827376 24.909707 66.769060
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.222742 0.571845 1.430650 3.732581 9.886802 25.838785 71.579711
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.216081 0.570823 1.468976 3.949230 10.789503 29.086467 83.317784
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.205915 0.559105 1.478403 4.090926 11.514870 31.984500 94.625779
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.190758 0.531690 1.442813 4.104054 11.885987 33.974489 103.671992
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.167999 0.479897 1.334320 3.895032 11.587161 34.025013 106.896770